Horse Racing Tips : SA Saturday 30th April 2022

Last Girl Love | (Morphettville Race 2 No.10)

I am loving this combination today of Kah and McEvoy and I think they can get the job done in Race 2 with Last Girl Love. This Snitzel filly had the blinkers applied last time out in the Clare Lindop Stakes, but unfortunately, we weren’t able to see her full potential as she finished a long way back and post-race she was found to be lame. She has had a month off and will get the blinkers taken off for winkers, and most importantly, she steps back to benchmark 60 grade from Listed quality. I don’t think 1250m is going to be an issue as she will be on the pace either box seating or leading and she will be strong through the line.

1 unit @ $4.40

Mr. Metrics (Morphettville Race 1 No. 11)

I thought he was very poor at Oakbank last start despite having a few issues in the run but his two wins prior haven’t rated very well. He has drawn barrier 11 and is taking on the older horses in a race where I have many in front of him. He can win without me.

$3.90

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Harleymoven | (Morphettville Race 6 No.4)

His last two runs have been something to behold, winning an open colts and geldings race over 1500m two back by 4.3 lengths before heading to the Port Adelaide Guineas where he was again very dominant, winning by 3.7 lengths against similar opposition. This bloke is all class and they are only offering the price they are due to people thinking about the wide draw. The majority of the speed is wide, so he will get a nice cart into the race and I expect his class to show once again.

1.4 units @ Betfair SP

Bons A Pearla | (Morphettville Race 7 No.4)

I thought this guy was overs already before El Patroness come out, and he is still sitting at an attractive price, which tells me the bookies don’t fear him and a lot of punters don’t want him. I loved his run in the Auraria Stakes behind rival My Whisper who he meets 3kg better off for a 0.6 length defeat. 2000m shouldn’t be an issue and they have swapped the blinkers for winkers which is a good move. He maps to get a nice run and I am expecting us to go close.

0.4 unit @ Betfair SP

Point Blaze |  (Morphettville Race 8 No.12)

I liked the value on offer for this daughter of Shamus Award and I think she is flying under the radar at big odds. Although she was knocked off in benchmark 76 quality last start, her first-up run in Listed quality was immaculate behind Ironclad and Manhattan Times, where she finished 2.5 lengths in fourth but was awkward out, laid out near the turn and she got blocked a touch in the straight but still hit the line well. She is ready for the 1400m now and looks to camp behind a speed battle of the favoured runners. If Crowther can remain calm behind this speed, she is going to get her chance to run past them late in the straight. This is worth a speck.

0.2 unit @ Betfair SP